Pitt takes on Utah in season opener
NCAA Football Betting Lines
09/01/2010 - Salt Lake City, UT (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The premiere matchup during the first night of the 2010 college football season has the Utah Utes entertaining the 15th-ranked Pittsburgh Panthers in a non-conference showdown at Rice-Eccles Stadium in Salt Lake City.
"It's one of those games where one turnover might mean the difference in the game, a bad decision in the kicking game might mean the decision of the game or where a broken coverage for a touchdown might make the decision of the game," Pittsburgh head coach Dave Wannstedt noted during his weekly news conference. "There's less room for error when you're playing a very good football team at home as compared to an opponent that you can maybe make a mistake, and you're strong enough in your talent to overcome."
Clearly the pressure is on both teams to perform well coming out of the gate and live up to their lofty expectations. Last season, the Panthers posted an impressive 10-3 mark with a 5-2 record versus the rest of the Big East Conference, but in the final games of the regular season they simply couldn't get over the hump. A loss to NC State early in the 2009 campaign may have kept Pitt out of the national title picture, but clearly the setbacks to West Virginia (19-16) and versus Cincinnati (45-44) made sure of that. As a result, the Panthers were sent to the Meineke Car Care Bowl where they barely made it by North Carolina in a 19-17 final.
As for the Utes, while they are not currently ranked in the AP's Top-25, the squad is clearly on the radar having won 17 consecutive home games to rank among the best in that department as the 2010 season gets underway. Head coach Kyle Whittingham, who picked up his first win with the program back in 2005 when he and the Utes posted a 35-7 win in the Fiesta Bowl against this same Pittsburgh team in their first-ever meeting. That win was one of nine straight for the Utes in the postseason, the longest current streak in the Football Bowl Subdivision.
Last year, ranked 23rd in the nation heading into extra play, the Utes logged a 37-27 win over California in the Poinsettia Bowl, and even though the team lost two of its last four games on the schedule, it still jumped to 18th in the final polls. The squad finished the season 10-3 and was 6-2 against the rest of the Mountain West Conference after losing to TCU (55-28) and BYU (26-23 OT) both on the road.
The importance of this season-opening game has not been lost on coach Whittingham and he is ready to get the action started.
"Pittsburgh's very good. They have a lot of weapons. There are a lot of positives for a team that was picked to win the Big East. Our guys are ready. They are having great practices. The work ethic is good, the focus is good."
Opening on the road for the first time since 1993, the Panthers are led on offense by sophomore running back Dion Lewis and quarterback Tino Sunseri. Lewis exploded onto the scene for Pittsburgh with a total of 10 100-yard rushing games and eight straight to close out 2009 as he averaged 138.4 ypg on the ground to not only rank first in the league but also third in the nation at such a young age. With an average of 5.5 yards per attempt and a total of 17 touchdowns, Lewis showed the sort of flashes that made Tony Dorsett a legend at Pittsburgh.
However, as great as Lewis might be, having a new quarterback directing the offense might hurt his production if opposing defenses are not sold on Sunseri. The offensive line is stocked with juniors and seniors and that should help keep Sunseri upright as well as open the necessary holes for Lewis to run through.
"Tino is very intelligent," coach Wannstedt has said of his new starting signal-caller. "He understands what we're trying to do as an offense. He has a strong enough arm to make all the throws that we ask our quarterbacks to make. We're not going into a game saying that we can't call this play or that play because the quarterback can't get the throw there accurately. He can make all the throws."
The other skill positions on offense for the Panthers have Mike Shanahan at split end and Mike Cruz at tight end, both of whom are sophomores, while the flanker spot is occupied by Jon Baldwin who led the team last season with 57 catches for 1,111 yards and eight touchdowns.
Except for a handful of games last season, the defense for the Panthers was right on top of the action. The squad was 17th in the nation in stopping the run with just 106.3 ypg allowed and was tops in sacks with 3.6 per outing. Tackles for loss was another highlight for the group, registering more than seven and a half per game to rank third in the conference and ninth in the country. The team had five guys with at least five sacks each, while Greg Romeus came up with a team-best eight sacks and Mick Williams a team-high 17.0 TFLs.
Romeus is a terrifying presence, standing 6-6 and carrying his 270-pound frame around with ease. The senior was one of two players to start every game along the offensive line at the same position last year, so getting into a groove was no problem.
Coach Wannstedt believes linebacker might be the deepest position on the defense, with guys like Tristan Roberts, Greg Williams and Dan Mason all able to control the action in the middle of the field, while both Roberts and Williams can also leak out to the edges as well.
"We feel we have two very good backs in Matt Asiata and Eddie Wide," coach Whittingham says of Utah's primary ball carriers heading into this season. "We have two starters and anticipate equal carries, but if one gets the hot hand, we will ride that hot hand, which is natural. If we rush 35-40 times in the game, I expect they will each get 18-20 carries. There is no target number, we just want to keep them fresh and rotate."
Wide had some strong plays for the Utes last year, but his consistency wasn't where it could have been. He put together six straight 100-yard rushing games, but there was also the mere 37 yards on 21 carries against California at the end. Obviously quarterback Jordan Wynn picked up the slack in the bowl game, throwing for a career-best 338 yards and three touchdowns and the hope is that the Poinsettia Bowl MVP will be doling out such efforts on a regular basis this season now that he knows the offense is firmly under his command.
Asiata, who is a threat to both break off a big run and take direct snaps from center, is coming off a knee injury that put him on the sidelines for the final nine games of 2009, so his return will provide a huge boost to the offense. If Asiata is able to rebound in solid fashion, perhaps having only one returning starter at the receiver position (senior Jereme Brooks) will not be such a bad thing.
Back in 2007 the Utes had the top defense in the nation, based on pass efficiency, but the last two years the group has slipped a bit and that might be cause for concern.
"We have two safeties who have never started a D-I game," says coach Whittingham. "Justin Taplin-Ross was playing behind Robert Johnson, and true freshman Brian Blechen is playing opposite him. We will be particularly interested to see how Brian reacts. We expect him to play well but you never know about the transition."
With those sort of concerns coming in the secondary, it will be crucial for the Utah linebacking crew to handle the business in front of it this week, especially when they encounter Lewis breaking through the first line of defense.
Arlington, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A pair of Top 25 teams clash in the Lone Star State this weekend, as the 24th-ranked Oregon State Beavers battle the sixth- ranked TCU Horned Frogs at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington. The Beavers made a serious
<< 11th-ranked Ducks open season at home against Lobos
Eugene, OR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 11th-ranked Oregon Ducks get their 2010
campaign started this weekend, when the New Mexico Lobos visit Eugene for a
non-conference affair at Autzen Stadium.
Chip Kelly took over an already successful Oregon
<< Gators face Redhawks in season-opener in Gainesville
Gainesville, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The post Tim Tebow Era begins in
Gainesville this weekend, as the fourth-ranked Florida Gators open up their
2010 season at home against the Miami-Ohio RedHawks.
Florida returns plenty of talent from a team
<< Top-25 foes LSU and UNC clash in Atlanta
Atlanta, GA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - An intriguing 2010 season-opener takes place in
Atlanta this weekend, as 21st-ranked LSU takes on 18th-ranked North Carolina
in the Chick-fil-A Kickoff Game.
Les Miles may be on the hot seat in Death Valley thi
<< Broncos and Hokies square off on Labor Day
Landover, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The most anticipated season-opener on the
docket in 2010 takes place on Labor Day in Landover, as the third-ranked Boise
State Broncos set out to prove their lofty ranking is warranted, as they take
on the 10th-r
Honolulu, HI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A new era in USC football begins on Thursday as new head coach Lane Kiffin leads his 14th-ranked Trojans into Honolulu to face the Hawaii Warriors in a non-conference showdown. Kiffin, who was previously an as
Badgers head to Sin City to open season against new-look Rebels >>
Las Vegas, NV (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Bobby Hauck gets his first taste of action in
the Football Bowl Subdivision this weekend as the new UNLV head coach welcomes
12th-ranked Wisconsin to Sam Boyd Stadium in Sin City.
The winningest coach in Big
'Horns and Owls hook up in Houston >>
Houston, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The fifth-ranked Texas Longhorns kick off the
2010 season with an intrastate matchup against the Rice Owls at Houston's
Reliant Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
Texas, fresh off yet another Big 12 Conference titl
Nittany Lions set to pounce on Penguins in season opener >>
University Park, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 19th-ranked Penn State Nittany
Lions lift the lid on the 2010 season against FCS foe Youngstown State in what
appears to be one of college football's most obvious mismatches of opening
weekend.
A n
Crimson Tide begin national title defense against visiting Spartans >>
Tuscaloosa, AL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Alabama Crimson Tide, ranked atop the AP
Poll as the 2010 season gets underway, begins defense of their national title
when they play host to the San Jose State Spartans on Saturday evening at
Bryant-Denny
MySportsbook.com : Fortune Favors Favorites in March Madness betting?
Just like Day 1 of the “Sweet 16”, Friday’s games are chock full of some of the nation’s elite. Unlike Thursday’s games, there is a little bit more of a “Cinderella” feel as #7 seed UNLV and #6 seed Vanderbilt will attempt to move on to the Elite Eight. With powerhouses Florida, UNC and Georgetown looking to continue their momentum against lesser known teams, it isn’t surprising that once again the “betting public” is backing most of the favorites. As the early coin rolls in, 56% of Sportsbook.com bettors prefer Georgetown (-7.5) as they take on Vanderbilt; 84% of the early money is backing Oregon (-3) as they square off against UNLV; and a slight majority (52%) of the early cash is on Florida (-10.5) against Butler as the Gators continue their quest for another National Title. The only favorite the public don’t seem confident in is UNC, as 59% of the cash is backing the underdog Trojans (+8).
Midwest
#1 Florida vs. #5 Butler
The defending National Champs have been on a mission since last April. Joakim Noah and Al Horford turned down millions of dollars for one reason, to REPEAT. After a late season hiccup which saw them lose three out of four, the Gators have won six straight by an average of 20.3 points. More importantly, they covered in five of those six games. Behind their stymie defense that yields only 56.9 PPG, Butler has been a very pleasant surprise this season. As their 20-11 ATS record will indicate, “surprise teams” like Butler are often good bets for gamblers. Playing in an average conference, Butler wasn’t and underdog too often but when they were, they covered (6-0 ATS). Butler’s defense will have its hands full against a Gators offense which averages 80.1 PPG on an amazing 52.9% shooting from the field. With Florida’s tournament experience over the last few years, it isn’t surprising that they are 5-1 ATS this season, 20-4 ATS over the last three seasons and 38-20 since 1997 in tournament action.
#3 Oregon vs. #7 UNLV
As a #7 seed, UNLV is the closest thing to a “Cinderella” we have this year. If you bet on UNLV this season with any regularity, you most likely cashed in. Behind their guard oriented attack, the Rebels are an impressive 20-11 ATS this season. As an underdog they covered in 8 out of their ten games which isn’t surprising since they are 52-30 ATS as a ‘dog since 1997. The Rebels have been a consistent cover during the month of March as well. This March they are 6-0 ATS, 11-3 ATS over the last three seasons and 24-11 since 1997. Their impressive ATS trends don’t end there; versus teams with a winning record they are 15-6 ATS this season and 41-21 over the last three seasons. Although Oregon hasn’t been as generous to gamblers as UNLV this season, they have been covering consistently as of late. There is no question that they are playing their best ball of the season having won their last 8 straight up (SU) by an average of 14.5 points. Not surprising they covered in 7 of those games. It is interesting to note how similar these teams are in regards to scoring and scoring defense. UNLV averages 75 PPG while giving up 66.5 PPG and Oregon scores 75.8 PPG while yielding 65.5 PPG.
East
#6 Vanderbilt vs. #2 Georgetown
“Hoya Paranoia” is officially back! After a decent start, Georgetown has rolled through the second half of the season. Over their last 18 games, they are 17-1 SU. They have definitely improved ATS as the season has progressed as well. After opening the season 1-4-1 ATS, the Hoyas have covered 78.3% of their games. With their great interior play of Jeff Green and Roy Hibbert, the Hoyas as a team shoot 50.5% from the field. Like the Georgetown teams from years ago, they also excel on defense. Hoya opponents averaged only 56.8 PPG on 38.2% shooting from the field and an extremely low 30.4% from beyond the arc. The last stat could be of some concern to Vanderbilt considering they shoot 37.7% from long-range. Ranking second to last in the SEC in rebounding margin, Vanderbilt will have its work cut out for them against the Hoya trees. As far as covering is concerned, Vanderbilt has been almost a “sure thing” (7-1 ATS) versus good defensive teams that allow less than 64 PPG.
#1 UNC vs. # 5 USC
The Tar Heels are as talented and as deep as any team in the country. Going ten deep and chock full of HS All-Americans, UNC averages 86.1 PPG and scored 100+ seven times. Led by All-American forward, Tyler Hansbrough (18.6 PPG 7.9 RPG) UNC has a very balanced attack which can kill you on the inside as well as on the perimeter. UNC only real concern is their youth as eight of their rotation players are either sophomores or freshmen. UNC was a reliable cover this season going 20-13 ATS. An intriguing covering trend for the Tar Heels in recent years has been how they fared after non-conference games. This season they are 11-3 ATS after non-conference games and over the last three seasons they are 31-13 ATS. USC is also a pretty deep team which is loaded with swingman types. An match-up to keep an eye on will be freshman forward Taj Gibson (12.1 PPG, 8.6 RPG) as he squares off against the AA Hansbrough. USC has been a covering machine this season achieving a 21-10 record ATS. They have thrived in the underdog role, having covered 10 out of 12. When playing a team with a winning record, the Trojans are an incredible 20-6 ATS. Keep in mind, USC dedicated their season to former star to Ryan Francis who passed away before the season so as they get closer to the ultimate goal, emotion could definitely be on their side.
With Friday -105 juice on Basketball betting, MySportsbook.com is the place to bet on all of the “March Madness” action. Don’t forget to monitor who the public is backing at this sportsbook “Betting Trends”. By doing so, you have the best chance of predicting a possible line change, thus getting the best value for your wager.
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SPORTS BETTING - Tennis is an underrated and under-utilized bettors' sport.
Ten years ago, at just about this time, I called Alan Boston in Vegas and left him a voicemail that went something like this (abridged version): "Hey Alan, Chad Millman from ESPN The Magazine calling. I want to do a book about wise guys, you in?"
A couple weeks later I got a message back (abridged version): "I don't know, maybe," Boston said. "Call me and we'll talk about it. But not later today. I got $1,000 on Andre Agassi to win the French Open at 40-1, and he's in the finals."
Here's what happened next (abridged version): Agassi won his tourney. Boston won his $40,000. I wrote sportsbook.
In the ten years since, how much has been wagered on the big-time tennis events? Put it this way: The Nevada Gaming Commission doesn't even track the number year by year because it's so small.
"Tennis makes up about one-tenth of one percent of our take," says Lucky's bookmaking boss Jimmy Vaccaro. "The last big golf major we probably had $100,000 worth of bets. In tennis, we might have written two big tickets."
Tennis' lack of popularity amongst the American bettoratti is no surprise, really. For starters, the biggest sports betting holidays -- the Super Bowl, the NCAA tourney -- are must see TV. People, at least the degenerates I know, plan vacations around watching those events in Vegas sports books.
But Wimbledon? Doesn't exactly reel in the whales. "Seriously, it's the nuts as an event," says Boston. "But who even knows when it's on?"
Here's another reason that helps explain why golf gets traction, something I call "The Bubbe Theory." My Bubbe is pushing 95 and has cataracts so bad that, to her, even the most crystalline Chicago day is mostly cloudy. But she still listens to the Cubs games, and she still calls me in a fit if she disagrees with something Rick Telander writes in the Chicago Sun Times. She's a sports fan. If she doesn't know you, you're just filling a niche. And niche players, even historically good ones like Roger and Raf, don't drive betting volume. Only the highest profile names attract square money, which inflates wagering totals like a shot of saline to the lips. Bubbe, and the public, loved Agassi, tennis' last cross-the-rubicon, mainstream draw. She also has a crush on Tiger. She's given me standing orders to put a sawbuck on the big cat whenever I walk through a sports book (or mistakenly tap into one via my Internet machine.) That explains why the Masters is getting $100K in action at some books while the four tennis majors might not get that combined this year.
This isn't a case of tennis being a difficult sport to bet. In fact, in Europe, it's probably the second most popular sport for gambling after soccer. Granted, as the WSJ football betting last week and The Mag's Shaun Assael examined in even greater depth last year, that might be because gamblers across the pond see it as an easy game to fix. But it could also be because, over there it holds the kind of sway the big two do over here.
Street corners in Spain are peppered with public courts and kids doing their best Raffy impressions. In some war torn parts of Eastern Europe poverty-stricken kids view tennis as an escape route, like football or basketball here. A couple years ago The Mag's Lindsay Berra wrote a great piece about Belgrade's Jelena Jankovic, Ana Ivanovic and Novak Djokovic. They learned the game as kids while bombs were raining down on their homeland. They practiced in drained swimming pools. Not exactly Nick Bolletierri conditions.
In the United States, casual fans think tennis is played four times a year. But on the tightly packed European continent, national interest in homegrown talent runs deep every weekend. Of the ATP's current top 20 players, only two, tennis betting and James Blake, are American. Fourteen are from Europe, representing six different countries.
No wonder fans from Lisbon to Bhudapest get jacked up for the net game, whether it's Wimbledon or a low-level tourney like the Estoril Open in Portugal (congrats to Spain's Albert Montanes for winning that one, btw). Chances are good that someone representing their flag will not only be playing, but have a shot at winning.
And that's all any bettor can ask for.
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